Review
As it transpired, the morning market moves didn’t provide
too good an indicator of the afternoons events at Wetherby (this can happen,
it’s the late market moves which tend to be the most significant)
That said Cyrius Moriviere never looked like wining the 2:45
contest.
Instead, Popleys Girl showed massive improvement on her
chasing debut, to fend off Cooking Fat.
Finding the winner wouldn’t have been easy, whatever method
you had used!
Ballotin defied the morning market weakness to win the
feature race at 3:45.
In fairness, he wasn’t quite so weak in the late market,
returning an SP of 13/2.
He just managed to hold off Monbeg River, who was sent off a relatively well backed 4/1 shot.
He just managed to hold off Monbeg River, who was sent off a relatively well backed 4/1 shot.
Lough Salt remained suitably strong in the market – and won
the 4:20 at 11/2.
He was definitely backable…
Seamor and Keep in Line were both well backed in the finale
– but they couldn’t get to Master of Irony.
Both of the placed horses looked as if they would
benefit from a step up in trip…Lunchtime Update
There have been some really significant market moves this morning,
in the Wetherby races – and it will be fascinating to see how many of them
foretell the outcome of the races…
According to the market, Cyrius Moriviere can’t win the 2:45
!
He was 2/1 last night – but is double that price now, on BF.
The market says the race is between Minella Aris, Cracking
Find and Cooking Fat – with Cracking Find probably the best backed (16/1 last night,
in to 5/1).
The market is suggesting that Ballotin will need the run in the
3:45: he’s drifted from 4/1 to 8/1.
Monbeg River on the other hand, is very strong (6/1 in to
4/1)…
Lough Salt has been quietly backed in the 4:20 and is now a
7/1 chance.
I do like his profile…
Whilst in the finale: Seamor, Keep in Line and Top
Ville Ben have all been backed – with just Utility weak in the market (of the
ones I mentioned).
Evening Preview
They race at Wetherby and Punchestown tomorrow – and it’s
the former card which has the best betting opportunities…
Wetherby
Cyrius Moriviere is the one of most interest, in the novice
chase at 2:45.
He could be much better than he’s shown so far over fences –
but things will need to go right for him
(and that didn’t happen last season).
That said, 2/1 is tight on his seasonal debut – and I’d be
more tempted by the 8/1 on offer this evening, about Cooking Fat…
The Bobby Renton chase at 3:45 is the high light of the Wetherby
card – and top weight Ballotin is the most interesting runner.
He’s been bought from France and had some good form over
there.
The jockey booking (a 7lb claimer rather than Richard Johnson)
is a little off putting – but I’m sure the market will advise (he’s 9/2 this evening)…
Monbeg River is the other one of interest – particularly as
he can go well fresh.
A general price of 6/1 about him, seems fair…
In the 4:20, Lough Salt is the most interesting one, on his second
run (first over hurdles) for Richard Guest.
He can be backed at 9/1 this evening – and that’s tempting.
The final race on the card, is arguably the most interesting
of the lot…
Cases can be made for Seamor, Utility, Keep in Line, Top
Ville Ben and even Ballyalton.
The market will almost certainly advise on this one – so I’ll
be keeping a keen eye on developments (Seamor and Keep in Line are the 2 of
most interest, with regard to tomorrows race).
Punchestown
Just a quick mention for the novice chase, at 4:10, where
the top class Petit Mouchoir makes his fencing debut.
He’ll probably win – though he does face at least one very talented
rival in the shape of Brelade (who also has chasing experience).
It’ll very much be a race to watch, with an eye to the future…
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